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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Fitch: In 2025, the prospects of all segments of the US technology market are neutral. It is expected that the investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and the PC update cycle will promote the single-digit growth in the semiconductor segment.The earnings per share of the opening customers in the first fiscal quarter exceeded the forecast. The earnings per share of the opening customers in the first fiscal quarter were $4.04, compared with $3.58 in the same period of last year, and the forecast was $3.81. Same-store sales in the United States increased by 5.2%, and it is estimated to increase by 5.03%. The total revenue was $62.15 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year, and it was estimated to be $61.98 billion. The net sales amounted to US$ 60.99 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year, and it is estimated to be US$ 60.85 billion.

The yield of long-term US Treasury bonds rose by at least 7 basis points. Yellen auctioned 30-year US Treasury bonds at noon in new york, and the demand was weak. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), the yield of US 10-year benchmark Treasury bonds rose by 6.26 basis points, rising for the fourth consecutive trading day, reaching 4.3337% on the refresh day, approaching 4.3668% at the top of November 25, at 08:08 Beijing time (at the beginning of the Asia-Pacific session, Most of the day was on the rise, and there was a V-shaped reversal after the European Central Bank announced the interest rate cut at 21:15, after the US PPI data was released, and after the US stock market opened.WTI crude oil futures closed down 0.38%, while WTI January crude oil futures closed down 0.27 US dollars, down 0.38% to 70.02 US dollars/barrel. Brent February crude oil futures closed down 0.11 US dollars, down 0.15% to 73.41 US dollars/barrel. Nymex January natural gas futures closed up 2.28% at $3.4550/million British heat.Amco: agreed to buy 2,000 bitcoin mining machines from Canaan Creative Global.

From the United States to the week of December 5, foreign central banks held US Treasury bonds of-203 million US dollars, with the previous value of-6.157 billion US dollars.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. The special promotion activity of "Investing in China" in the Middle East was held in the United Arab Emirates; 2. Promote China's economic ships to ride the wind and waves to achieve stability (talk about implementation)-comrades attending the meeting talk about implementing the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference; 3. On the 10th anniversary of the comprehensive water supply, the first phase of the East Central Line Project has transferred more than 76.7 billion cubic meters of water to the northern region, solidly promoting the South-to-North Water Transfer Project to exert greater benefits (authoritative release); 4. Overcome the problem of traveling on the thin soft soil seabed, and the domestic underwater cable laying robot can complete the launching test with an operating speed of kilometers per hour; 5. Ensure that artificial intelligence is always a "friend" (live comment); 6, more and better use of clean energy (micro); 7. The tenth batch of 62 kinds of drugs were successfully purchased by the state, and the products selected in this centralized purchase will be used in April next year; 8. The competitiveness index of China's overall agricultural scientific papers ranks first in the world; 9. The personal pension system will be implemented nationwide, and the number of accounts opened has exceeded 70 million, adding more stable income investment varieties. Experts advise investors to allocate products according to their own risk preferences, financial management knowledge and age; 10. In the first nine months of this year, tourism revenue increased by 8.6% year-on-year. Brazil accelerated the development of tourism and expected more tourists from China to visit; 11. Malaya Investment Bank-The economies of several ASEAN countries are expected to maintain growth next year.Broadcom said that the market size of the company's artificial intelligence (AI) accelerator is expected to be $15 billion to $20 billion next year.